Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea
Chen, Shumin; Qian, Yu-Kun; Peng, Shiqiu; speng@scsio.ac.cn
2015
发表期刊NATURAL HAZARDS
卷号78期号:1页码:61-74
文章类型0921-030X
摘要This study investigates the effects of various combinations of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes and the microphysics schemes on the numerical forecasting of tropical cyclones (TCs). Using different combinations of three PBL schemes (YSU, MYJ and MYNN2) and four microphysics schemes (Ferrier, Goddard, WSM6 and Lin), a number of experiments are carried out for five landed TCs in the South China Sea during 2012. Results show that the combination of the YSU and Ferrier schemes performs the best for the TC track forecasting, although it does not perform the best for the forecast of precipitation. Further analysis reveals that the best performance of the track forecast by the combination of the YSU and Ferrier schemes mainly attributes to a more accurate steering flow as well as TC wind structure produced by this combination. These results provide a valuable reference to the operational numerical forecasting of TC tracks in the future.
部门归属[Chen, Shumin; Qian, Yu-Kun; Peng, Shiqiu] Chinese Acad Sci, South China Sea Inst Oceanol, State Key Lab Trop Oceanog, LTO SCSIO, Guangzhou 510301, Guangdong, Peoples R China ; LTO
关键词Tropical Cyclone Numerical Forecasting Pbl Scheme Microphysics Scheme Combinations Of Physical Schemes
学科领域Geology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
收录类别SCI
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://ir.scsio.ac.cn/handle/344004/15067
专题热带海洋环境国家重点实验室(LTO)
通讯作者speng@scsio.ac.cn
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GB/T 7714
Chen, Shumin,Qian, Yu-Kun,Peng, Shiqiu,et al. Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea[J]. NATURAL HAZARDS,2015,78(1):61-74.
APA Chen, Shumin,Qian, Yu-Kun,Peng, Shiqiu,&speng@scsio.ac.cn.(2015).Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea.NATURAL HAZARDS,78(1),61-74.
MLA Chen, Shumin,et al."Effects of various combinations of boundary layer schemes and microphysics schemes on the track forecasts of tropical cyclones over the South China Sea".NATURAL HAZARDS 78.1(2015):61-74.
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