SCSIO OpenIR  > 热带海洋环境国家重点实验室(LTO)
A simple predictive model for the eddy propagation trajectory in the northern South China Sea
Li, Jiaxun1; Wang, Guihua; Xue, Huijie2,3; Wang, Huizan4
2019
Source PublicationOCEAN SCIENCE
ISSN1812-0784
Volume15Issue:2Pages:401
AbstractA novel predictive model was built for eddy propagation trajectory using the multiple linear regression method. This simple model relates various oceanic parameters to eddy propagation position changes in the northern South China Sea (NSCS). These oceanic parameters mainly represent the effects of beta and mean flow advection on the eddy propagation. The performance of the proposed model has been examined in the NSCS based on five years of satellite altimeter data and demonstrates its significant forecasting skills over a 4-week forecast window compared to the traditional persistence method. It was also found that the model forecasting accuracy is sensitive to eddy polarity and the forecast season.
DepartmentLTO
DOI10.5194/os-15-401-2019
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.scsio.ac.cn/handle/344004/17742
Collection热带海洋环境国家重点实验室(LTO)
Affiliation1.Fudan Univ, Inst Atmospher Sci, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China
2.Naval Inst Hydrog Surveying & Charting, Tianjin, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, South China Sea Inst Oceanol, State Key Lab Trop Oceanog, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
4.Univ Maine, Sch Marine Sci, Orono, ME USA
5.Natl Univ Def Technol, Inst Meteorol & Oceanog, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Jiaxun,Wang, Guihua,Xue, Huijie,et al. A simple predictive model for the eddy propagation trajectory in the northern South China Sea[J]. OCEAN SCIENCE,2019,15(2):401, 412.
APA Li, Jiaxun,Wang, Guihua,Xue, Huijie,&Wang, Huizan.(2019).A simple predictive model for the eddy propagation trajectory in the northern South China Sea.OCEAN SCIENCE,15(2),401.
MLA Li, Jiaxun,et al."A simple predictive model for the eddy propagation trajectory in the northern South China Sea".OCEAN SCIENCE 15.2(2019):401.
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